Coming soonDecision intelligence for complex disputes

Complex disputes,
moved forward
by URIM.

A mathematical decision instrument being developed to model the uncertain events behind litigation strategy, settlement, reserves, and capital allocation.

In development · Illustrative product interface · Not legal advice

URIM workflows
UURIM
Decision workspaceIllustrative
Commercial agreement disputeShould this matter proceed to full diligence?
URM-24-071 · v0.8
Current assessment68%

Illustrative scenario range 61–75%

0255075100

Largest scenario contrastJurisdiction motion · ±14 pts

Next eventMotion decision

Working postureContinue diligence; preserve settlement option.

What is URIM? · Coming soon

A mathematical model of the decision behind the case.

URIM is being developed to represent a dispute as a system of observed facts, unresolved events, possible outcomes, and available actions—then expose the assumptions and dependencies behind the resulting decision.

The intended mathematical object

Not a score. A distribution over possible paths.

URIM is being designed to model the joint uncertainty connecting the current record, unresolved events, terminal outcomes, and decisions available to the user.

Proposed joint predictive object p(Y, Z, θ, M | X, D)

Marginalize over unresolved events, uncertain parameters, and candidate models to calculate the quantity relevant to the decision.

D
Historical comparison data
X
Observed matter record
Z
Unresolved factual, legal, and procedural events
Y
Possible terminal outcomes
A
Actions available to the decision-maker
01

Define the dependency structure.

Represent which unresolved events enable, prevent, or materially change later events and outcomes.

Z₁ → Z₂ → Y
02

Propagate uncertainty.

Compute a predictive distribution rather than hiding uncertainty behind a categorical answer.

q = p(Y = 1 | X, D)
03

Measure scenario influence.

Recompute the output under explicit alternative conditions to identify the events with the greatest leverage.

Δᵢ = q(Zᵢ=1) − q(Zᵢ=0)
04

Compare available actions.

Relate possible outcomes to value, cost, duration, and downside under a disclosed decision rule.

A* = arg max E[U(A,Y) | X,D]

Development status This section describes the intended mathematical architecture. It is not a claim that a validated production model is currently available.

Inside the decision brief

Reviewable workflows.
Sharper decisions.

Structured sequences make the reasoning portable—from matter team to client, claims file, or investment committee.

Critical path

See what the matter depends on.

Separate observed events from open dependencies, and show which event can strengthen, weaken, or break the current thesis.

Commercial agreement disputeIllustrative
  1. 01
    Agreement recordComparator scope established
    Observed
  2. 02
    Jurisdiction motionLargest scenario contrast · ±14 pts
    Open
  3. 03
    Expert evidenceRequired for damages theory
    Conditional
  4. 04
    Decision postureReview after material event
    Review

Assumption review

Challenge the basis, not just the answer.

Observed facts, declared assumptions, missing evidence, comparator logic, and dissent remain visible around the conclusion.

+

Which assumption has the most leverage?

Material assumptionForum clause applies to the present claim.
Lower impactHigher impact

Review note Counsel confirmation required before this assumption can support a recommendation.

Use cases

How dispute decision-makers use URIM.

One reviewable instrument, applied to the recurring decisions where uncertainty carries a real cost.

URIM / Matter screeningIllustrative
Should this matter move to full diligence?↑

Screen a matter before full diligence.

Organize the initial posture, comparator fit, open evidence, and largest sensitivities before scarce senior attention is committed.

Discuss matter screening

Planned capabilities

What the brief is being built to show.

617568%

Uncertainty interval

State exactly what the displayed interval means.

ProceedSettlePause

Scenario analysis

Compare plausible strategies side by side.

Authority

Linked to proposition

Comparator

Inclusion logic recorded

Provenance

Keep sources attached to what they support.

Observed factAssumptionMissing evidence

Reviewability

Separate facts, assumptions, and unknowns.

Model AModel BReviewerDissent preserved

Analytical record

Show material agreement and dissent.

v0.8

Comparator scope revised

v0.7

Expert evidence added

Change record

Version what changed, when, and why.

Who is URIM for?

Being built for the person accountable for the recommendation.

URIM’s first research scope is aimed at professionals making repeated, material decisions across complex disputes.

Don’t see your role? Talk to us.
  • Litigation partners01
  • Chief litigation counsel02
  • Claims and litigation leaders03
  • Litigation-finance underwriters04
  • Senior disputes analysts05

Where URIM fits

From one matter to a portfolio view.

The decision brief comes first. Monitoring and portfolio comparison follow only when the brief itself proves useful.

U

Coming soon · Assisted assessment

URIM Decision Brief

The planned first product: a counsel-reviewed distribution, critical path, assumptions, sensitivities, sources, and version record for one consequential decision.

Join the founding research

Future research phase

URIM Portfolio Monitor

A governed view of which matters changed, why they changed, and where senior review is newly justified.

See the research sequence

Evidence standard

Trust has to be earned in the method.

URIM will not publish a corpus count, win-rate claim, or performance figure until it is real, dated, reproducible, and scoped to the matter class and jurisdiction tested.

  1. 01

    Temporal testing

    Evaluate on decisions the system could not have seen.

  2. 02

    Calibration first

    Test whether estimated probabilities correspond to observed frequencies.

  3. 03

    Failure inventory

    Publish exclusions, abstentions, missing data, and material failure modes.

  4. 04

    Versioned change

    Record changes to data, models, review, and affected briefs.

Data security, privacy, and governance

Professional control stays visible.

Matter minimization

The public site requests only broad portfolio context. It does not accept party names, documents, confidential facts, or privileged strategy.

Human review

The instrument informs professional judgment. Counsel remains responsible for legal analysis, client advice, and every decision taken.

Versioned provenance

The intended brief records its source basis, assumptions, model and data version, analyst review, and reason for revision.

Frequently asked questions

Before the briefing.

No. URIM is under development. The interfaces and numerical examples on this site illustrate the intended product and mathematical architecture; they are not outputs from a validated production system.

Coming soon · Founding research

Help define a credible mathematical decision brief.

URIM is still under development. We are speaking with senior professionals who make or support repeated, high-value dispute decisions. Share your role and broad portfolio context—not matter facts, party names, documents, or privileged information.

  • 01Where uncertainty is most expensive
  • 02What a credible decision brief must show
  • 03Which validation and governance gates matter first